Lecture 6 + Lecture 6 (IDK)

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1
Why is there variability in data?
Each user has unique preferences and behaviors, leading to variability that can make group averages uncertain or misleading
2
What is the key question when testing a new system?
When do we decide if a new system is truly working or not?
3
How do statistics help handle uncertainty in data?
By using statistical tests to determine if differences are real or due to chance
4
What does an independent samples t-test compare?
The means of two independent groups (e.g., Group A vs Group B)
5
What factors does the independent samples t-test formula account for?
Difference in means, sample size (n), and variance (s², measure of variability/error)
6
What was the result of the example t-test (Group 1 vs Group 2)?
t(198) = 7.03, p < 0.05 → significant difference, real measurable effect
7
Why must effect size be considered alongside significance?
It shows how big the difference is in practice, not just whether it’s statistically significant
8
What confounding factors can affect correlations in user data?
Age, subscription type, device type, genre, time/day, network quality, and user mood
9
What is a between-subjects design?
Different groups of participants experience different conditions (e.g., Group A uses Algorithm A, Group B uses Algorithm B)
10
What is a main challenge of between-subjects designs?
Groups may differ for reasons unrelated to the condition (e.g., demographics, traits)
11
What is a within-subjects design?
The same participants experience both conditions, reducing variability from individual differences
12
What is the risk in within-subjects designs?
Learning or order effects (practice or bias)
13
What is counterbalancing?
Alternating the order of conditions to reduce order effects (e.g., Participant 1: A→B, Participant 2: B→A)
14
What are the four types of validity?
Construct, internal, external, and ecological validity
15
What is construct validity?
Whether you are measuring what you think you are measuring
16
What is internal validity?
Whether your manipulation truly causes the observed results or if confounds exist
17
What is external validity?
Whether results generalize beyond the study sample
18
What is ecological validity?
Whether results are relevant in real-world settings
19
What is manipulation in experimental design?
A controlled change by the experimenter to test causal effects
20
When to use an independent samples t-test?
When comparing 2 groups in a between-subjects design
21
When to use a paired samples t-test?
When comparing the same participants under 2 conditions (within subjects)
22
When to use a one-sample t-test?
When comparing one group’s mean to a known value
23
When to use a one-way ANOVA?
When comparing more than 2 groups (between subjects)
24
When to use a repeated measures ANOVA?
When comparing more than 2 conditions within subjects
25
When to use non-parametric tests?
When assumptions like normality are not met
26
What is Bayesian statistics?
An alternative approach providing probabilities of hypotheses
27
What are the steps of the empirical cycle?
Design, test, evaluate
28
How was the empirical cycle applied in the AI system example?
Design: split users into groups, Test: measure engagement, Evaluate: check significance and effect size
29
What are the key takeaways about data and statistics in experiments?
Variability makes averages misleading, use statistical tests, design matters, counterbalance in within-subjects, significance shows real effects, effect size shows importance
30
What are common problems with Big Data?
Data collected without clear purpose, construct validity at risk, misuse of hypothesis testing, findings should be treated as exploratory not definitive
31
What is ACT-R?
A cognitive architecture with modules (visual, procedural, retrieval, etc.) for simulating cognition
32
What are Marr’s three levels of analysis?
Computational (what problem is solved), algorithmic (how it’s solved), implementational (where it’s implemented)
33
What are the types of cognitive models?
Descriptive (verbal), box-and-arrow diagrams, computational (math/simulations)
34
What three things can cognitive models help us do?
Describe/explain choices, simulate/predict choices, improve choices
35
What does the Drift Diffusion Model (DDM) explain?
Decision-making as evidence accumulation until a threshold is reached, explaining choices and reaction times
36
What are the key parameters of the DDM?
Drift rate (info quality/difficulty), starting point (bias), decision threshold (cautiousness vs impulsivity)
37
What factors influence human decisions according to DDM?
Information quality, prior knowledge (bias), and available time (speed vs accuracy)
38
How does DDM connect to neural evidence?
Evidence accumulation-like processes have been observed in brain regions like LIP
39
What is the speed–accuracy tradeoff (SAT)?
Pressure for speed lowers thresholds (faster but more errors), accuracy requires more time (fewer errors)
40
Where is the speed–accuracy tradeoff observed?
Everyday decisions, animal behavior (bees detecting spiders), human perceptual decision tasks
41
What is the clinical relevance of the SAT?
Impairments in speed–accuracy regulation are linked to disorders such as ADHD
42
What are the final takeaways about experiments and cognitive models?
Experiments are essential, statistics/design ensure valid results, big data ≠ theory, cognitive models explain decisions, SAT is a key theme in behavior and clinical research
43
What is one problem with Big Data related to collection?
Data is often collected without a reason (at cost of privacy, energy, time).
44
What is a problem with Big Data related to measurement?
It's not clear whether the data is the best measure for the question at hand (construct validity at risk).
45
What is a problem with Big Data related to statistical techniques?
They are sometimes incorrectly applied (e.g., hypothesis testing presented as a priori when it was exploratory).
46
What is the net result of incorrectly applying statistics in Big Data?
Findings are presented as theory-based, whereas they should be presented as exploratory.
47
What three things do we rely on when making quick choices under uncertainty?
Prior knowledge, the amount of time we have, and the information we use.
48
What does Internal validity concern?
Whether the experimental manipulation caused the outcome.
49
What does Construct validity address?
Whether an operational measure accurately represents the theoretical construct it's supposed to measure.
50
What does the drift rate represent?
The average speed and direction of evidence accumulation.
51
What is the drift rate directly influenced by?
Stimulus strength/difficulty.
52
In quick choices, what parameter does the 'information that we use' affect?
Drift rate.
53
In quick choices, what does 'less information' lead to?
Slower decisions and more errors.
54
In quick choices, what parameter does 'prior knowledge' (bias) affect?
Starting point.
55
In quick choices, what does 'prior knowledge' (bias) lead to?
Faster and more choices towards the favored alternative.
56
In quick choices, what parameter does the 'amount of time' we have affect?
Threshold.
57
In quick choices, what does having 'less time' lead to?
Risky / impulsive choices (more errors).
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