Bual 2600 Final

116 flashcardsby Lydia
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1
Data
Facts and figures from which conclusions can be drawn
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Data Set
The data that are collected for a particular study
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Variable
any characteristic of an element
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Quantitative Variables
The possible measurements of the values of a variable are numbers that represent quantities
Ex: Age
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Qualitative (Categorical) Variables
Labels or names used to identify an attribute of each element
Ex: Names
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Cross Sectional Data
Data collected at. the same time or approximately the same time
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Time Series Data
Data collected over different time periods
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Population
A set of all elements about which we draw conclusions
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Sample
A. subset of all the elements in a population
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Probability Sampling
Sampling where we know the change that each element in the population will be included in the sequence
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convience sampling
sampling where we select elements because they are convenient to sample
not a probability sample
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voluntary response sampling
samples in which participants self-select
-frequently used by radio and television
-over represent people with strong opinions
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judgements sampling
samples in which a person who is extremely knowledgable about the population selects population elements he or she feels are most representative
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nominative variable
a qualitative variable for which there is no meaningful ordering
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ordinal variable
A qualitative variable for which there is a meaningful ordering or ranking of the categories.
Ex: teaching effectiveness
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interval variable
All of the characteristics of ordinal (meaningful ranking) plus... measurements are on a numerical scale with an arbitrary zero point and can only meaningfully compare values by the interval between them
Ex: Temperature
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ratio variable
interval plus Measurements are on a numerical scale with a meaningful zero point such as anything related to money
Ex: Earnings
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stratified random sampling
divide population into non-overlapping groups (strata) then select a random sample from each strata
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multistage cluster sampling
divide population into clusters and then randomly select clusters to sample
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systematic sampling
list population
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dichotomous questions
-clearly stated
-easy to answer
-easy to analyze
-limited information
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multiple choice questions
-allow more than two responses
-usually analyzed with averages
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open-ended questions
-most honest and complete information
-cannot be readily summarized
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phone surveys
-inexpensive
-low response rate
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mail surveys
-inexpensive
-low response rate (20-30%)
-requires multiple mailings
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web surveys
-cheaper still
-same problems as mail surveys
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personal interviews
-more expensive
-more control
-higher response rates
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relative frequency
summarizes a proportion of items in each class
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relative frequency for a class formula
(number of frequency of the class)/n
multiply by 100 to obtain percent frequency
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bar chart
A vertical or horizontal rectangle represents the frequency for each category
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pie chart
A circle divided into slices where the size of each slice represents its relative frequency or percent frequency
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histogram
a picture of the frequency distribution
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How to find frequency distribution (steps)
1. Find the number of classes
2. Find the class length
3. Form non overlapping classes of equal width
4. Tally and count
5. Graph the histogram
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class length fomula
(max-min)/# of classes
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frequency polygon
-Plot a point above each class midpoint at a height equal to the frequency of the class
-Useful when comparing two or more distributions
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cumulative distribution
-Another way to summarize a distribution is to construct a cumulative distribution
-To do this
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ogive
A graph of a cumulative distribution
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stem-and-leaf displays
-purpose is to see the over all pattern of the data
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how to construct a stem and leaf display
1.Decide what units will be used
2.Each leaf must be a single digit and stem values will consist of appropriate leading digits.
3.Place the stem values
4.Enter the leaf values. (each leaf should be single digit
can be any power of 10)
5.Rearrange the leaves in increasing order.
· Can split the stems as needed
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original data value formula
(stem and leaf)* leaf unit
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contingency table
classifies data on two dimensions
-rows classify according to one dimension
-columns classify according to a second dimension
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scatter plot
used to study relationships between two variables
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population parameter
a number calculated from all the population measurements that describes some aspect of the population
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sample statistic
a number calculated using the sample measurements that describes some aspect of the sample
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mean
the arithmetic average of a distribution
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median
the middle score in a distribution
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mode
The value that occurs most frequently in a given data set.
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relationship between mean, median, mode
Median < mean = curve skewed to right
Median > mean = curve skewed to the left
All equal = symmetrical curve
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range
Largest measurement minus the smallest measurement
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variance
The average of the squared deviations of all the population measurements from the population mean
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population variance formula
((x_1-μ)^2+(x_2-μ)^2+⋯+(x_N-μ)^2)/N
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Sample Variance Formula
((x_1-x ̅ )^2+(x_2-x ̅ )^2+⋯+(x_(n-1)-x ̅ )^2)/(n-1)
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standard deviation
The square root of the population variance
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population standard deviation
σ=√(σ^2 )
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sample standard deviation
s=√(s^2 )
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empirical rule
If a population has mean μ and standard deviation σ and is described by a normal curve
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Chebyshev's Theorem
Let μ and σ be a population's mean and standard deviation
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z-score forrmula
z=(x-mean)/standard deviation
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coefficient of variation
Size of the SD related to size of the mean
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coefficient of variation formula
(standard deviation/mean)X100%
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percentile
a value such that p percent of the measurements fall at. or below the value and (100-p) percent of the measurements fall at or above the value
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important percentiles
-The first quartile Q1 is the 25th percentile
-The second quartile (median) is the 50th percentile
-The third quartile Q3 is the 75th percentile
-The interquartile range IQR is Q3 - Q1
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how to calculate percentiles
1. arrange the measurements in increasing order
2. calculate the index i=(p/100)n where p is the percentile to find
3. (a) if i is not an integer
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5 number summary
minimum
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a. 5.375 ((8+7+5+2+9+2+5+5)/8)
b. 5
c. 5 ((5+5)/2)
sample data: 8
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A) Mode
the measurement in a sample or a population that occurs most frequently is the _______?
A) mode
B) mean
C) median
D) outlier
E) average
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C) median would be less than the mean
If a population distribution is skewed to the right
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C) 3
A normal population has 99.73 percent of the population measurements within ________ standard deviation(s) of the mean.
A) 1
B) 2
C) 3
D) 4
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D) whether a person has a traffic violation
Which of the following is a categorical variable?
A) air temperature
B) bank account balance
C) daily sales in a store
D) whether a person has a traffic violation
E) value of company stock
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B) convenience sampling
In ________ we select elements because they are easy to sample.
A) random sampling
B) convenience sampling
C) judgment sampling
D) probability sampling
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D) All of the other answers are correct
Which of the following is a type of question used in survey research?
A) dichotomous
B) open-ended
C) multiple-choice
D) All of the other answers are correct
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Chebyshev's Theorem Formula
(1-1/k^2)%
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Experiment
any process of observation with an uncertain outcome
Ex: Flipping a coin
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Experimental Outcomes
possible outcomes for an experiment
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Probability
A measure of the chance that an experimental outcome will occur when an experiment is carried out
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sample space
the set of all possible experimental outcomes
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classical method of assigning probabilities
For equally likely outcomes
Ex: Rolling a die
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relative frequency method of assigning probabilities
Using the long run relative frequency
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subjective of assigning probabilities
assessment based on experience
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probability model
a mathematical representation of a random phenomenon
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random variable
a numerical description of the outcome of an experiment
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probability distribution
a probability model describing a random variable
2 types: discrete and continuous
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Event
a set of sample outcomes
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probability of an event
the sum of the probabilities of the sample space outcomes
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Complement Probability Rule
the complement of an event A is the set of all sample space outcomes not in A
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Union
The ______ of A and B are elementary events that belong to either A or B or both
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Intersection
The ______ of A and B are elementary events that belong to both A and B
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If they have no sample space outcomes in common
When are A and B mutually exclusive?
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P(A|B)=P(A) which is equivalent to P(B|A)=P(B)
When are A and B independent?
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Multiply
If two events are independent
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.76
If A and B are independent events
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discrete and continuous
What are the two types of random variables?
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discrete random variable
Possible values can be counted or listed
Ex: The number of defective units in a batch of 20
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continuous random variable
may assume any numerical value in one or more intervals
Ex: The interest rate charged on a business loan
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probability distribution of a discrete random variable
a table
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1. for any value x of the random variable
p(x) >=0
2. The probability of all the events in the sample space must sum to 1
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1. Experiment consists of n identical trials
2. Each trial results in either "success" or "failure"
3. Probability of success
p
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Poisson Distribution
considers the number of times an event occurs over an interval of time or space
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1. the probability of occurrence is the same for any intervals of equal length
2. The occurrence in any interval if independent of an occurrence in any non overlapping interval
what are the characteristics of a poisson distribution?
100
the number of minutes required to run a mile
what is NOT a discrete random variable?
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1.987
If n=15 and p=.4
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poisson
the distribution whose mean is equal to its variance is the ______ distribution.
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properties of f(x):
1. f(x)>=0 for all x
2. The total area under the curve of f(x) is equal to 1
ESSENTIAL POINT: An area under a continuous probability distribution is a probability
what are the properties of a continuous random variable?
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1. there are an infinite number of normal curves
2. The highest point is over the mean (also median and mode)
3. The curve is symmetrical abut its mean
4. The tails of the curve extend to infinity in both directions
5. The area under the curve to the right of the mean equals the area under the curve to the left of the mean
what are the properties of a normal distribution
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68.26%
95.44%
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zero
one
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the sampling distribution of the sample mean
the probability distribution of the population of the sample means obtainable from all possible samples of a size n from a population size N
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process of statistical inference
1. population with mean=?
2. A simple random sample of n elements is selected from the population
3. The sample data provide a value for the sample mean x-bar
4. the value of x-bar is used to make inferences about the value of the population mean
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Central Limit Theorem
The theory that
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when np ≥ 5 and n(1 − p) ≥ 5
how large of a sample size is large enough?
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A).2 (has to be between 0 and 1)
Which of the following is a valid probability value for a discrete random variable?
A) .2
B) 1.01
C) −.7
D) All of the choices are correct.
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.1112
Assume that the finishing times in a New York City 10-kilometer road race are normally distributed with a mean of 61 minutes and a standard deviation of 9 minutes. Let X be a randomly selected finishing time. Find P (X > 72)
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E) np ≥ 5 and n(1 − p) ≥ 5.
The population of all sample proportions has a normal distribution if the sample size (n) is sufficiently large. The rule of thumb for ensuring that n is sufficiently large is ____________.
A) np ≥ 5.
B) n(1 − p) ≥ 5.
C) np ≤ 5.
D) n(1 − p) ≤ 5 and np ≤ 5.
E) np ≥ 5 and n(1 − p) ≥ 5.
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B) means
The Central Limit Theorem states that as the sample size increases
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D) The Central Limit Theorem
________ says that if the sample size is sufficiently large
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μx=50
A random sample of size 36 is taken from a population with mean 50 and standard deviation 5. What is μx?
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