SEAD 520 Midterm

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1
4 characteristics of LCAs
1. life cycle perspective
2. covers broad range of environmental issues
3. is quantitative (can be compared)
4. based on science (measurements, value judgements)
2
LCA strengths
best estimate results
internationally standarized
comparison between products
best estimate for decisions

H2 -
avoids burden shifting
3
LCA weaknesses
low probability events not well modelled
"hired guns" and misrepresentation of results in marketing
issues in consistency with system boundaries functional unit
assumptions often disputed
4
functional unit
quantified performance of product
impact/functional unit
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emissions factor
number of environmnetal releases (ghg) as a function of activty
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resource use factor
number of resources used as a function of activity
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LCA Analysis should include...
1. description of methods
2. results
3. critical assesment or validation of results
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recipe for goal and scope deifinition
1. define a product system
2. determine functions and functional unit
3. delineate system boundary
4. select inventory items and/or impacts studied
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Attributional Lca
share of environmental burden belongs to product, describes environmental relevant flows to and from life clife
average data
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Consequential LCA
how hlobal environmnetal burdens are affected by productionse of product, describes environmental relevant flows change in response to decisions
marginal data
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goal statement
intended application
reason fro study
intended audience
if results will be used in comparative analysis to the public
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scope definition
determine product system under investigation and how asseeement should take place
aim: ensure conissttentcy of methods, assumptions, data and reproducibility
9 items: 2-6 centeral as they influence decisions, 1, 7-9 is about reporting and communicating results
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reasons to modify system boundaries
if full life-cycle is not being considered
in comparative studies it's okay to exclude identical processes
LCI model with ideal boundarries is basically impossible
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cut-off criteria
apply to activities placed outside of scope of the model
3 criteria
1. mass
2. energy
3. environmental significance
15
foreground and background system
foreground: process specific to object of study
background: process of a system not specific to object
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impact categories
class of environmnetal issues of concern to which LCA may be assigned area of protection
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inventory analysis
construction of a life cylce model, compilation of the relevant inputs and outputs, calculations of environemntal releases
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inventory analysis steps
0. identify unit processes
1. processes required for flow in the reference flow
2. processes required to deliver flow that perfrom a supporting function to the level 0 process
3. processes required to deliver services to the level 0 should be identified
4. processes required to produce and maintain infrastructure for level 0 process
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data considerations
primary, secondary, temporal, geospatial
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functional and non-functional flow, multi-functional process
functional: any flow of unit process that constitute its goal
non-functional: any flow that is not functions
multi-functional process: a unit process yielding more than 1 functional flow
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3 steps for allocations
1. it should be avoided (subdivid or expand product system)
2. should reflect the underlying physical relationship (mass or volume)
3. if not step 2, then other relationships, such as price
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decision context - micro-level, meso/macro-level, and accounting
micro-level: small scale, will not cause structural chnages in adjacent systems
meso/macro-level: decision expected to cause change in adjacent systems
accounting: NOT for decision support --> purely descriptive/document, other interactions may be included
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impact assesment and 2 steps
calculations of impacts from inputs, outputs, and emissions
1. classification
2. characterization
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interpretation
assesment of results relative to LCA purpose to make decision
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LCIA
describves environmental consequences by translating environmental loads from inventory analysis to impacts
considers effects (human, ecosystems, resources)
because it includes functional unit, it is different from environmental impact
last objective stage of LCA
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impact category and catgeory indicator
class of environmnetal issues of concern to which LCI results may be assigned
catgeory indicator: quantifiable representation of an impact category
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characterization model and factor
characterization model: mathematical model of the impact of elementary flows with respect to a category indicator
characterization factor: factor from characterization model which is applied to convert the LCI results to a commin unit of category indicator (GWP)
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midpoint impacts and damages
midpoint impacts: intermediate effects that do not demonstate full damages (eg increased radiative forcing)
damages: endpoint impacts or final part of chain
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Mandatory elements of LCIA recipe
selection: determine impact categories, category indicators, and characterization models
classification: assignment of inventory results --> each to a catgory (eg CO2 to ghg, oil to energy)
characterization: calculation of category indicator results (reevent to endpoints and impacts)
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optional elements of LCIA recipe
normalization: calculation of magnitude of category indicator --> results from characterization are related to impact for each category
grouping: assignemnt of impact categories to group of similar impacrts (eg local, regional, global, high, med or low priority)
weighting: weights to different impacts, allowing intergration across all imacts allowing intergration across all impact categories
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context dependent element of LCIA recipe
data quality check: analysis of the significance, uncertainty and sensitivity of LCIA results
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LCIA results and criticism
often comprehensive boudnary is missing, category indicators are not equally precise/important, data/methods are incomplete, high levels of uncertainty
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life cycle interpretation
studying results in relation to goal and scope, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis, are boundary appropriate?
20% rule: need 20% difference between LCI results between 2 products
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LCI interpretation recipe
indentify significant issues
evaluate completeness
sensitivity and consistency (uncertainty assement)
conclusions
limitations
reccomendations
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LCI interpretation issues
break-even analysis: where results break even
decision-maker analysis: who has power over each part of results?
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characterization factor
contribution per quantity of elementary flow to a specific environmental impact
CF units: translate impact for elementary flow to a common unit
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impact score
sum of characterization factors * elementary flows
for each impact category the indicator results are summed to determine overall results
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environmental compartments
broad environmental category which receives emission/impact --> air, soil, natural resources
sub-compartments make further distinctions
39
GTP vs GWP
GWP uses the emissionsradiative forcing as an indicator
GTP is an instantaneous metric thta uses as an indicator the globa; average temperature increase of the atmosphere at a fture time that result for emissions
GTP is more concrete, reflects policy targets, although it is more uncertaint and more challenging to model
40
TRACI
mid-point assesment model
from LCI data it predicts impact
41
ReciPe
calculates 18 mid-point indicators and 3 end point indicators
using diffirent cultural persoectives to make value weighting transparent
1. individualistic: short-term, impact are undisputed, tech optimisn with regard to human adaptation
2. hiearchist: scientific consensus about time-frame and plausibility of impacts
3. egalitirian: most precautious, longest time frame, all impact pathways for which data is available
42
external reporting
ISO requires
reuslts and conclusions to be reported with 0 bias
transparancy
results and interpretations are used consistently with study goals
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critical review
verifies if LCA met requirements for methods, data, interpretation, reporting and if it is consistent with principles
this enhances credibility and understanding
it is requried if comparative results are to be diffused to public
44
EIO-LCA
"general interdependcy" model: quantifies the inter-relationships among sectors of an economic system
direct and indirect economic inputs of purchases
can be extended to environmental and energy analysis
perception of what matters us vased on local factors

overestimares the dependence of the items
underestimates of supply chain effects

use EIO-LCA to frame LCA problems and set boundaries
45
SimaPro vs OpenLCA
OpenLCA is more modern
both have import/export posibilities, flexibility for importing processes, and flows
OpenLCA has empty database, SimaPro has built in choices
46
ecoinvent
largest, most consistent LCI database
data on unit processes and system processes level
data on most industries
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global activity coverage
RoW: local scope that cover together the entire global production volume
market activities: bundles of inputs within geographical scope based on market shares
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system models
collection of choices made for database
differ in modeling choices
allocation and cut-off by allocation
APOS
consequential-long term
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allocation and cut-off by allocation
all intermediate flows are classes into "allocatable byproducts", "recyclable materials" or "waste"
ALCA
polluter pays- does not incentivize recycling
use of recycle materials = burden free
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APOS
based on the premise that allocation of materials that require further treatment beofre they can be of immediate value is fundamentally challenging
performs an expansion of the allocation system to include all treatment processes for any by-products
ALCA
provides benefit to polluters for recycling
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consequential long-term
substitution is used to resolved multi-functionality instead of allocation
CLCA
credits for substitution
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Ecoinvent system models vs allocation
ecoinvent handles allocation in a specified way, databsed have been developed to reflect these specific decisions
uses primarily economic allocation
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circular economy
economic system that uses a systemic approach to mainatin a circular flow of resources, by recovering, retaining or adding to their value
least virgin resource use as possible
54
simple cut-off or recycled content (ALCA)
easiest approach
100% of virgin material production is allocated to the product using virgin material
boundary between life cylces where there is lowest market values (before waste collection)
incentivizes: use of recylced material when envrionemntal impact is less rgan virgin, recycling as alternate to waste treatment when the waste treatment has an impact
does no incentivize: when alternate waste treatment has environmental benefit

recommended when=
product contains recycled input , but littel is known about recycling after use
supply of recycled material is greater than demand or
the company doing the lCA has control over how much recycled material to use
55
cut-off with economic alllocation
if waste has negative economic value, boundary between life cylces is point where market value rises to 0 --> value - to + within unit process
envrionmental burdens for dismantaling are attributed to upstream and downstream
allocation is proprotional to total revenue

incentivizes: use of recylced materials, except when material recycling has significantly more impact than virgin material production
does not incentivize: material recycling after use when final disposal has a low impact
complex to apply because data on prices is needed
56
50/50 approaches
burden split equally
perspective that material use requires both virgin and final disposal that can no longer be recycled
environemntal benefits are equally attributed to products that are recycled after yse and products conatining recycled materials

incentivizes: use of recycled materials and recycling of products have use when there is environmental benefit
57
impact assesment method --> water AWARE indicator
regionalized water scarcity footprint
goal: assess the extent to which other water users in the same area are at risk of water scarcity
CF between 1 and 100 ( 100 is low scarcity)
58
impact assesment method --> characterization for human toxicity
impacts at midpoint level
human toxicity potential
comparative toxic units
estimated increase in morbidity in total population/ unit mass of a contaminent emitted
assumes equal weighting beween cancer and non-cancer effects
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abiotic resources
fossil fuels, mineral ores, metal
functional use for society
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renewable resoruces
can still be depleted
flow resources: can not be depleted (except localized cases) --> wind, solar, sometimes freshwater
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stratospheric ozone depletion
CFCs are not degraded in troposphere, so over years they got to stratoshpere
in stratosphere CFCs break down into reactive chlorine radicals due to UV
CF: ODP

photochemical ozone depletion: secondary contaminents in troposphere caused by oxidation of primary contaminents
CF: POCP
need VOC or CO in the presence of NOx under light
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uncertainty
epistenuc as a result of not perfectly capturing the characteristics of a product system
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variability
randomness inherent to the data or methods
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where does uncertainty manifest?
important when comparing 2 product systems

2 rationals:
hotspot analysis - where are the highest and lowest LCI/LCIA results
comapring 2 product systems - which has higher impacts?
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uncertainty in inputs
measurement uncertainty: when "ground-truthing"
geospatial: variations across world
paramater: inputs are uncertaint
temporal: changes in assumptions over time
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uncertainty in models
process based = linearity, data quality
software tools: different softwares lead to different results
allocation: methods are not always consistent
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uncertainty in results
accumulation of certain inputs, assumptions, methods, tools
potential remedies are only part of solution
uncertainty assesment is fundamental part of LCA
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approaches to uncertainty assesment
qualitative: interpretation via word description --> data quality assesment
semi-qualitative (heuristic) = rule of thumb, significance heuristics are pre-defined thresholds
qunatitative
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quantitative uncertainty assement
sensitivity analysis:
varying inputs to test how analysis is affected by changes in assumptions
sometimes descriptive
tornado plots

ranges =
represets multiple estimates
can be reported with error bars, but usually in tables

distributions =
monte-carlo simulations
70
probability
quantitative statement about the uncertainty associated with event under consideration
not a %
decision tree: tool for evaluating possible outcomes whenthe outcome of a decision is uncertain, and it is possible to estimate probabilities
ecoinvent pedigree matrix: has default uncertainty info, lognormal is most common
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